Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 8.572997 10.022429 11.608881 13.469754 15.588028 17.919457 20.674797
2026-01-11 6.139480 8.094165 10.460222 13.513173 17.323697 21.896660 27.770822
2026-01-18 4.717922 6.854155 9.655742 13.548993 18.760793 25.431213 34.536852
2026-01-25 3.660400 5.789333 8.781616 13.209910 19.493917 27.971812 40.126596
2026-02-01 2.910583 4.971839 8.054542 12.876861 20.075221 30.234536 45.416368
2026-02-08 2.301638 4.230961 7.290286 12.329127 20.207576 31.789550 49.751384
2026-02-15 1.861706 3.667860 6.692986 11.918008 20.439688 33.435612 54.267729
2026-02-22 1.644556 3.440875 6.594460 12.265664 21.848592 36.915702 61.735155
2026-03-01 1.466727 3.249188 6.520178 12.627810 23.290885 40.530433 69.639601
2026-03-08 1.216532 2.868707 6.049798 12.233901 23.411571 42.021606 74.268068
2026-03-15 1.025334 2.568285 5.678859 11.961097 23.691393 43.761849 79.378926
2026-03-22 0.954975 2.511986 5.769082 12.550144 25.540953 48.248525 89.301608
2026-03-29 0.853688 2.379527 5.713061 12.903064 27.091423 52.507802 99.442558
2026-04-05 0.735830 2.185590 5.505905 12.944926 28.095370 55.947932 108.540140
2026-04-12 0.635406 2.010440 5.309371 12.979428 29.083658 59.434138 117.971735
2026-04-19 0.528283 1.789216 4.967953 12.652932 29.310219 61.521651 125.021365
2026-04-26 0.439766 1.594515 4.651985 12.332282 29.501869 63.537968 132.054348
2026-05-03 0.356572 1.390167 4.271903 11.805024 29.190718 64.541215 137.235197
2026-05-10 0.293394 1.228170 3.968119 11.409344 29.110201 65.972629 143.302970
2026-05-17 0.266715 1.180132 3.962847 11.743940 30.682404 70.839021 156.348835
2026-05-24 0.243363 1.136979 3.963487 12.092529 32.317000 75.942643 170.166472
2026-05-31 0.201613 1.011215 3.699211 11.713369 32.215946 77.410468 176.779277
2026-06-07 0.169507 0.911053 3.490782 11.450812 32.359095 79.396056 184.554746